Statecraft
Statecraft

War Room

Sen. Avery Cole · United States Senate · Florida · fictional demo

117 days out
Win probability
54%
+3.2 in the avg
Name ID
61%
soft on I-4 corridor
Cash on hand
$8.4M
burn $1.2M/mo
Key relationships
41/48
healthy
Open risks
3
all prepped
Influence index
72
do people need you
Reelection72

Up 3.2 in the average, but name ID is soft in the I-4 corridor — 61% vs 74% statewide.

Legislative81

Coastal Resilience Act has 8 of 12 needed colleagues; two persuadables reachable this week.

Media64

Insurance-cost story is running hot; you're 36 hours behind the cycle without a statement.

Relationships77

41 of 48 key relationships healthy; two bundlers and one county chair have gone quiet 60+ days.

Ask your strategist
The six questions running in your head — answered from live data.
Strategist

Model says 54% today — up 3.2 in the average, but soft where it matters: name ID is 61% in the I-4 corridor vs 74% statewide, and coastal-homeowner sentiment slid 9 points on insurance anger. The two moves that change the number: get in front of the insurance story this week (your bill IS the answer), and spend name-ID dollars on the I-4 buy, not the panhandle where you're already at 80%.

Today — AI-sequenced

7 blocks
7:30aCall time — 12 ranked prospects (list ready)
9:00aCommerce Committee hearing
11:15aLocal TV hit — insurance costs (talkers attached)
12:30pLunch — Rev. Dorsey (faith coalition, endorsement path)
2:00pFloor votes (3)
4:00pVeterans roundtable — Hillsborough
6:30pFinance event — Harbor Club (host: M. Okafor)
Reelection Legislative Media Relationships